Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 10.246993 11.341035 12.515335 13.871605 15.397452 17.063944 19.025797
2025-09-28 8.430739 9.918356 11.629415 13.751739 16.325482 19.360556 23.232677
2025-10-05 7.429544 9.203701 11.368227 14.224233 17.924374 22.598106 29.015000
2025-10-12 6.653763 8.613708 11.129022 14.631501 19.442063 25.904638 35.392289
2025-10-19 5.935304 7.977056 10.713417 14.705826 20.477764 28.668929 41.444834
2025-10-26 5.300675 7.358501 10.222171 14.575123 21.161261 30.979671 47.161771
2025-11-02 4.764521 6.805582 9.742156 14.372485 21.672015 33.053988 52.793830
2025-11-09 4.307017 6.310702 9.280889 14.121900 22.044822 34.920737 58.337754
2025-11-16 3.936434 5.903725 8.901125 13.938680 22.476790 36.904319 64.358364
2025-11-23 3.639555 5.578327 8.609106 13.852127 23.038576 39.152378 71.188773
2025-11-30 3.462735 5.423372 8.568014 14.168606 24.317749 42.813484 81.289832
2025-12-07 3.224842 5.146253 8.297457 14.054342 24.800820 45.060801 88.955441
2025-12-14 2.973238 4.830350 7.941847 13.767284 24.959213 46.770253 95.959295
2025-12-21 2.776706 4.591439 7.696950 13.654985 25.436877 49.179946 104.963107
2025-12-28 2.689014 4.532957 7.762393 14.127197 27.122893 54.311547 121.212401
2026-01-04 2.597744 4.459604 7.792843 14.533165 28.725639 59.515732 138.788936
2026-01-11 2.469229 4.307763 7.663952 14.607887 29.638405 63.334761 153.756150
2026-01-18 2.326491 4.118108 7.446767 14.478666 30.088914 66.159440 166.749682
2026-01-25 2.187934 3.925608 7.207604 14.277799 30.351742 68.576455 179.180765
2026-02-01 2.055965 3.735896 6.958254 14.029214 30.472561 70.663068 191.160593
2026-02-08 1.942196 3.573229 6.749582 13.847423 30.727028 73.126668 204.865946
2026-02-15 1.847308 3.440888 6.591605 13.761546 31.201475 76.238426 221.369597
2026-02-22 1.798321 3.396382 6.610168 14.075687 32.705766 82.363889 249.266663